BankableReal Bet? · Hydrogen
Real Bet? · The Colors of Hydrogen

You watched the ranking.
Here's the whole teardown.

The video gives you the verdict and the two numbers. This is the work behind it — the full research report and the editable TEA workbook. Free.

Verdict: two real bets (green; honest blue) · one wildcard (white) · the rest is marketing
The report

The full research report

  • Every color on one cost-vs-carbon map
  • The 4 kg CO₂e/kg gate that ranks the bets
  • The money map: 45V · 45Q · Canada · EU · CBAM · China
  • The 45V flip: green's net cost vs grey, derived
  • 18 verified sources, original-language
The model

The editable TEA workbook

  • The actual spreadsheet — every cell live
  • Cost-vs-carbon grid for every color
  • Live 45V four-tier credit by carbon intensity
  • Net-cost flip + carbon-price breakeven
  • Swap your own power prices, run your own scenarios

Where should I send it?

It's free. I just ask what you're working on — so I know who's out there and what to tear down next.

No spam — just the report and model. Your answers help me tear down what you actually care about.

Here you go. 🎉

Both are yours — open the report in your browser, the TEA workbook in Excel or Google Sheets (every yellow cell is an input).